Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.951533 2.121571 2.302635 2.510294 2.742492 2.994835 3.290760
2025-12-07 1.686531 1.916279 2.175241 2.490623 2.866854 3.304449 3.856550
2025-12-14 1.508392 1.768473 2.073843 2.462509 2.949286 3.545878 4.343523
2025-12-21 1.348700 1.618820 1.945907 2.376553 2.936818 3.652728 4.656240
2025-12-28 1.262693 1.547758 1.902658 2.384598 3.034100 3.897319 5.163578
2026-01-04 1.199354 1.497832 1.878777 2.410782 3.151361 4.172401 5.736296
2026-01-11 1.147091 1.456836 1.861147 2.440450 3.271448 4.457364 6.350498
2026-01-18 1.099804 1.418128 1.842196 2.464263 3.381807 4.734409 6.980759
2026-01-25 1.051475 1.374194 1.812012 2.467993 3.460407 4.967794 7.565719
2026-02-01 0.990283 1.308514 1.746722 2.414866 3.447265 5.055402 7.916157
2026-02-08 0.940484 1.255796 1.696216 2.379145 3.456283 5.176140 8.333571
2026-02-15 0.901447 1.216097 1.661804 2.364573 3.495986 5.348188 8.859961
2026-02-22 0.883897 1.207060 1.672547 2.421386 3.657352 5.743637 9.861132
2026-03-01 0.848535 1.170071 1.639446 2.406831 3.699263 5.936410 10.501775
2026-03-08 0.813036 1.131033 1.600918 2.380584 3.718418 6.089053 11.082031
2026-03-15 0.766550 1.073358 1.530830 2.298348 3.633972 6.043187 11.242040
2026-03-22 0.744691 1.052014 1.515917 2.306073 3.707885 6.299611 12.085817
2026-03-29 0.728247 1.038109 1.511758 2.331162 3.814275 6.628111 13.141601
2026-04-05 0.713539 1.026125 1.509846 2.359582 3.928457 6.983103 14.319026
2026-04-12 0.698507 1.012884 1.505072 2.382390 4.033400 7.329784 15.538405
2026-04-19 0.680458 0.994031 1.490088 2.385962 4.101241 7.605428 16.629301
2026-04-26 0.652811 0.958706 1.446239 2.335075 4.058319 7.638340 17.089268
2026-05-03 0.629933 0.930241 1.412624 2.300851 4.045859 7.736409 17.742796